Antje Weisheimer

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Antje Weisheimer

Senior NCAS Research Fellow

I am a Senior Research Fellow of the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) and a co-leader of the Predictability of Weather and Climate group. My interests are mainly model-based weather and climate forecasts and the uncertainties associated with them.

Areas of interest:

  • Predictability and reliability of weather and climate on time scales of days, weeks, months, seasons and years
  • Assessing model uncertainty in weather and climate forecasts
  • Seamless prediction of weather and climate
  • Multi-decadal variability in the climate system and its predictability

I hold a joint position as a senior scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading where I mainly work on seasonal forecasts.

For details on my research projects and to download papers, choose the tabs at the top.

The Predictability of Weather and Climate group pages are here. For more general information about our institute, see the Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics (AOPP) pages.

NEW: We currently have two fully funded summer student projects on i) climate trends in seasonal forecasts, and ii) prediction of tropical cyclone activity and links to ENSO advertised.

Twitter: @AntjeWeisheimer


Warming Stripes for Oxford from 1814-2019.

Funded research projects in progress:

EUCP (European Climate Predictions), EC H2020, Dec 2017 to May 2022, will work with users of climate information to develop a regional climate prediction and projection system based on high-resolution climate models for Europe, to support climate adaptation and mitigation decisions for the coming decades. The system will be able to take account of new climate information, such as that produced for the next IPCC assessment, or the latest near-term decadal climate predictions as they become available.
Work package leader of WP Towards a seamless near term European climate prediction system.
people: Dr. Daniel Befort
previously Dr. Chris O'Reilly (now at Reading University)

Key publications:

  • Befort, D.J., C.H. O'Reilly, and A. Weisheimer (2020). Constraining projections using decadal predictions. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2020GL087900
  • O'Reilly, C.H., D.J. Befort, and A. Weisheimer (2020). Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data. Earth Syst. Dynam., doi:10.5194/esd-11-1033-2020
  • Befort, D.J., C.H. O'Reilly, and A. Weisheimer (2020). Representing model uncertainty in multi annual predictions. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2020GL090059

Past funded research projects:

  • SummerTIME (Summer: Testing Influences and Mechanisms for Europe): NERC, people: Dr. Chris O'Reilly , Jonathan Beverley (co-supervised PhD student at Reading University)
  • IMPETUS (Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making), NERC, people: Dr. Tess Parker
  • SPECS (Seasonal-to-decadal climate Predictions for the improvements of European Climate Services), EC FP7, work package leader on Addressing Model Inadequacy, cross-cutting theme leader on Dealing with Uncertainty, people: Dr. David MacLeod
  • EUCLEIA (EUropean CLimate and weather Events: Interpretation and Attribution), EC FP7, people: Dr. Nathalie Schaller

Selected papers

For a full list of publications see Publications data base entries on the right.

SPECS factsheet

NCAS Research Highlights


If you cannot predict the weather next month ...

... how can you predict the climate for the coming decade?


See here.

Other activities:

The Predictability of Weather and Climate group meetings are normally held on Mondays at 11.30 in the Barnett meeting room.

Here is the link to the AOPP seminars on Thursdays 11.30 in the Dobson Lecture Room.

Improving weather forecasts to avert disruptions, damage and disaster - a short video by Lenny Smith from the London School of Economics.

Science is probably the best thing humans ever invented .. Science Fictions