Jobs | University of Oxford Department of Physics

People

Tim Palmer

Royal Society Professor
Liz Stephens

Postdoctoral Researcher
Mio Matsueda

JSPS sponsored researcher
Miroslaw Andrejczuk

Senior Research Computing Associate
Antje Weisheimer

Senior NCAS Research Fellow
Fenwick Cooper

Postdoctoral Research Assistant
Andrew Dawson

Research Assistant
Peter Dueben

PostDoc
Dave Macleod

Postdoctoral Research Assistant
Hannah Arnold

Graduate Student
Hugh McNamara

Group visitor

Publications

Stochastic Parameterisations and Model Uncertainty in the Lorenz '96 system
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Royal Society 371 (2013) 20110479
IM Moroz, HM Arnold, TN Palmer
REVOLUTIONIZING CLIMATE MODELING WITH PROJECT ATHENA A Multi-Institutional, International Collaboration
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 94 (2013) 231-+
KJL III, B Cash, D Achuthavarier et al.
Climate extremes and the role of dynamics.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 110 (2013) 5281-5282
TN Palmer
The use of uncertain observed data for flood inundation modelling
(2013)
EM Stephens
Impacts of aerosol particles on the microphysical and radiative properties of stratocumulus clouds over t...
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 13 (2013) 2541-2562
CH Twohy, JR Anderson, DW Toohey et al.
Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information
Hydrological Processes 27 (2013) 132-146
F Pappenberger, E Stephens, J Thielen et al.
Useful decadal climate prediction at regional scales? A look at the ENSEMBLES stream 2 decadal hindcasts
Environmental Research Letters 7 (2012)
DA MacLeod, C Caminade, AP Morse
Towards the probabilistic Earth-system simulator
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 138 (2012) 841-861
TN Palmer
Reliability of decadal predictions
Geophysical Research Letters 39 (2012)
S Corti, A Weisheimer, TN Palmer et al.
Stratocumulus over SouthEast Pacific: Idealized 2D simulations with the Lagrangian Cloud Model
ArXiv (2012)
M Andrejczuk, A Gadian, A Blyth
Towards the probabilistic Earth-system simulator
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2012)
TN Palmer
Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2012)
R Hagedorn, R Buizza, TM Hamill et al.
The impact of uncertainty in satellite data on the assessment of flood inundation models
Journal of Hydrology 414-415 (2012) 162-173-162-173
EM Stephens, PD Bates, JE Freer et al.
Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models
Geophysical Research Letters 39 (2012) L21805
A Dawson, TN Palmer, S Corti
Importance of oceanic resolution and mean state on the extra-tropical response to El Niño in a matrix of...
Climate Dynamics (2012)
A Dawson, DP Stevens, AJ Matthews et al.
A discontinuous/continuous low order finite element shallow water model on the sphere
Journal of Computational Physics 231 (2012)
Dueben, P Korn, V Aizinger
Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles-lessons from numerical weather predi...
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 3 (2012) 5
EM Stephens, TL Edwards, D Demeritt
Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 369 (2011) 4751-4767
J Slingo, T Palmer
Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Geophysical Research Letters 38 (2011)
A Weisheimer, TN Palmer, FJ Doblas-Reyes
Rossby wave dynamics of the North Pacific extra-tropical response to El Niño
Climate Dynamics 37 (2011) 391-405
A Dawson, AJ Matthews, DP Stevens
Limited-area modelling of stratocumulus over South-Eastern Pacific
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 11 (2011) 25517-25556
M Andrejczuk, WW Grabowski, A Gadian et al.
ECMWF seasonal forecast system 3 and its prediction of sea surface temperature
CLIMATE DYNAMICS 37 (2011) 455-471
TN Stockdale, DLT Anderson, MA Balmaseda et al.
Accuracy of climate change predictions using high resolution simulations as surrogates of truth
Geophysical Research Letters 38 (2011)
M Matsueda, TN Palmer
Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models - why is it so hard?
Geophysical and Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics 105 (2011) 351-365
TN Palmer, A Weisheimer
Droplet growth in a bin warm-rain scheme with Twomey CCN activation
Atmospheric Research 99 (2011) 290-301
WW Grabowski, M Andrejczuk, L-P Wang
On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe
Geophysical Research Letters 38 (2011)
A Weisheimer, FJ Doblas-Reyes, T Jung et al.
Predictability of Euro-Russian blocking in summer of 2010
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 38 (2011) ARTN L06801
M Matsueda
Evaluation of probabilistic quality and value of the ENSEMBLES multimodel seasonal forecasts
Monthly Weather Review 139 (2011) 581-607
A Alessandri, A Borrelli, A Navarra et al.
Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast s...
Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 116 (2011)
FJ Doblas-Reyes, MA Balmaseda, A Weisheimer et al.
Future Change in Extratropical Cyclones Associated with Change in the Upper Troposphere
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 24 (2011) 6456-6470
R Mizuta, M Matsueda, H Endo et al.
A CERN for climate change
PHYSICS WORLD 24 (2011) 14-15
T Palmer
Toward a new generation of world climate research and computing facilities
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 (2010) 1407-1412
J Shukla, TN Palmer, R Hagedorn et al.
EC-Earth: A seamless Earth-system prediction approach in action
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 (2010) 1357-1363
W Hazeleger, C Severijns, T Semmler et al.
Model uncertainty in seasonal to decadal forecasting - insight from the ENSEMBLES project.
ECMWF Newsletter ECMWF 122 (2010) 21-26
A Weisheimer, FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer
Is science fiction a genre for communicating scientific research? A case study in climate prediction
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 (2010) 1413-1415
TN Palmer
EXTENDED-RANGE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS OF GANGES AND BRAHMAPUTRA FLOODS IN BANGLADESH
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 91 (2010) 1493-U121
PJ Webster, J Jian, TM Hopson et al.
Forecast quality assessment of the ENSEMBLES seasonal-to-decadal Stream 2 hindcasts. ECMWF Tech Memo.
ECMWF (2010) 621
FJ Doblas-Reyes, A Weisheimer, TN Palmer et al.
Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system
(2010) 633
FJ Doblas-Reyes, MA Balmaseda, A Weisheimer et al.
An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91 (2010) 1377-1388
M Shapiro, J Shukla, G Brunet et al.
Understanding the Anomalously Cold European Winter of 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 138 (2010) 3157-3174
T Jung, TN Palmer, MJ Rodwell et al.
Diagnosing the Origin of Extended-Range Forecast Errors
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 138 (2010) 2434-2446
T Jung, MJ Miller, TN Palmer
Impact of 2007 and 2008 Arctic ice anomalies on the atmospheric circulation
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 136 (2010) 1655-1664
MA Balmaseda, L Ferranti, F Molteni et al.
Cloud-aerosol interactions for boundary layer stratocumulus in the Lagrangian Cloud Model
Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 115 (2010)
M Andrejczuk, WW Grabowski, J Reisner et al.
Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90 (2009) 175-178
J Shukla, R Hagedorn, B Hoskins et al.
Decadal variability: Processes, predictability and prediction. ECMWF Tech Memo.
(2009) 591
D Anderson, FJ Doblas-Reyes, MA Balmaseda et al.
Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Tech Memo.
(2009) 598
TN Palmer, R Buizza, FJ Doblas-Reyes et al.
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal p...
in Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling, Cambridge University Press (2009) 15
J Berner, FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer et al.
The characteristics of Hessian singular vectors using an advanced data assimilation scheme
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 135 (2009) 1117-1132
AR Lawrence, A Leutbecher, TN Palmer
Future change in wintertime atmospheric blocking simulated using a 20-km-mesh atmospheric global circulat...
Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 114 (2009)
M Matsueda, R Mizuta, S Kusunoki
Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts
SOLA 5 (2009) 113-116
M Matsueda
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