Publications by Raymond Pierrehumbert


Meat consumption, health, and the environment.

Science (New York, N.Y.) 361 (2018)

HCJ Godfray, P Aveyard, T Garnett, JW Hall, TJ Key, J Lorimer, RT Pierrehumbert, P Scarborough, M Springmann, SA Jebb

Both the global average per capita consumption of meat and the total amount of meat consumed are rising, driven by increasing average individual incomes and by population growth. The consumption of different types of meat and meat products has substantial effects on people's health, and livestock production can have major negative effects on the environment. Here, we explore the evidence base for these assertions and the options policy-makers have should they wish to intervene to affect population meat consumption. We highlight where more research is required and the great importance of integrating insights from the natural and social sciences.


Exploring the Atmosphere of Neoproterozoic Earth: The Effect of O-2 on Haze Formation and Composition

ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL 858 (2018) ARTN 119

SM Horst, C He, MS Ugelow, AM Jellinek, RT Pierrehumbert, MA Tolbert


GLOBAL OR LOCAL PURE-CONDENSIBLE ATMOSPHERES: IMPORTANCE OF HORIZONTAL LATENT HEAT TRANSPORT

Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society (2018)

F Ding, RT PIERREHUMBERT


A chemical survey of exoplanets with ARIEL

Experimental Astronomy (2018)

G Tinetti, P Drossart, P Eccleston, P Hartogh, A Heske, J Leconte, G Micela, M Ollivier, G Pilbratt, L Puig, D Turrini, B Vandenbussche, P Wolkenberg, JP Beaulieu, LA Buchave, M Ferus, M Griffin, M Guedel, K Justtanont, PO Lagage, P Machado, G Malaguti, M Min, HU Nørgaard-Nielsen, M Rataj, T Ray, I Ribas, M Swain, R Szabo, S Werner, J Barstow, M Burleigh, J Cho, VC du Foresto, A Coustenis, L Decin, T Encrenaz, M Galand, M Gillon, R Helled, JC Morales, AG Muñoz, A Moneti, I Pagano, E Pascale, G Piccioni, D Pinfield, S Sarkar, F Selsis, J Tennyson, A Triaud, O Venot, I Waldmann, D Waltham, G Wright, J Amiaux, JL Auguères, M Berthé, N Bezawada, G Bishop, N Bowles, D Coffey, J Colomé, M Crook, PE Crouzet, V Da Peppo, IE Sanz, M Focardi, M Frericks, T Hunt, R Kohley, K Middleton, G Morgante, R Ottensamer, E Pace, C Pearson, R Stamper, K Symonds, M Rengel, E Renotte, P Ade, L Affer, C Alard, N Allard, F Altieri, Y André, C Arena, I Argyriou, A Aylward, C Baccani, G Bakos, M Banaszkiewicz, M Barlow, V Batista, G Bellucci, S Benatti, P Bernardi, B Bézard, M Blecka

© 2018, The Author(s). Thousands of exoplanets have now been discovered with a huge range of masses, sizes and orbits: from rocky Earth-like planets to large gas giants grazing the surface of their host star. However, the essential nature of these exoplanets remains largely mysterious: there is no known, discernible pattern linking the presence, size, or orbital parameters of a planet to the nature of its parent star. We have little idea whether the chemistry of a planet is linked to its formation environment, or whether the type of host star drives the physics and chemistry of the planet’s birth, and evolution. ARIEL was conceived to observe a large number (~1000) of transiting planets for statistical understanding, including gas giants, Neptunes, super-Earths and Earth-size planets around a range of host star types using transit spectroscopy in the 1.25–7.8 μm spectral range and multiple narrow-band photometry in the optical. ARIEL will focus on warm and hot planets to take advantage of their well-mixed atmospheres which should show minimal condensation and sequestration of high-Z materials compared to their colder Solar System siblings. Said warm and hot atmospheres are expected to be more representative of the planetary bulk composition. Observations of these warm/hot exoplanets, and in particular of their elemental composition (especially C, O, N, S, Si), will allow the understanding of the early stages of planetary and atmospheric formation during the nebular phase and the following few million years. ARIEL will thus provide a representative picture of the chemical nature of the exoplanets and relate this directly to the type and chemical environment of the host star. ARIEL is designed as a dedicated survey mission for combined-light spectroscopy, capable of observing a large and well-defined planet sample within its 4-year mission lifetime. Transit, eclipse and phase-curve spectroscopy methods, whereby the signal from the star and planet are differentiated using knowledge of the planetary ephemerides, allow us to measure atmospheric signals from the planet at levels of 10–100 part per million (ppm) relative to the star and, given the bright nature of targets, also allows more sophisticated techniques, such as eclipse mapping, to give a deeper insight into the nature of the atmosphere. These types of observations require a stable payload and satellite platform with broad, instantaneous wavelength coverage to detect many molecular species, probe the thermal structure, identify clouds and monitor the stellar activity. The wavelength range proposed covers all the expected major atmospheric gases from e.g. H2O, CO2, CH4 NH3, HCN, H2S through to the more exotic metallic compounds, such as TiO, VO, and condensed species. Simulations of ARIEL performance in conducting exoplanet surveys have been performed – using conservative estimates of mission performance and a full model of all significant noise sources in the measurement – using a list of potential ARIEL targets that incorporates the latest available exoplanet statistics. The conclusion at the end of the Phase A study, is that ARIEL – in line with the stated mission objectives – will be able to observe about 1000 exoplanets depending on the details of the adopted survey strategy, thus confirming the feasibility of the main science objectives.


Ice-shelf damming in the glacial Arctic Ocean: dynamical regimes of a basin-covering kilometre-thick ice shelf

CRYOSPHERE 11 (2017) 1745-1765

J Nilsson, M Jakobsson, C Borstad, N Kirchner, G Bjork, RT Pierrehumbert, C Stranne


Observational evidence against strongly stabilizing tropical cloud feedbacks

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44 (2017) 1503-1510

IN Williams, RT Pierrehumbert


Linking the Climate and Thermal Phase Curve of 55 Cancri e

ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL 849 (2017) ARTN 152

M Hammond, RT Pierrehumbert


Reconstructing Climate from Glaciers

ANNUAL REVIEW OF EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCES, VOL 45 45 (2017) 649-680

AN Mackintosh, BM Anderson, RT Pierrehumbert


5 Things We Know to Be True.

Scientific American 315 (2016) 46-53

M Shermer, H Hall, R Pierrehumbert, P Offit, S Shostak


Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 6 (2016) 360-369

PU Clark, JD Shakun, SA Marcott, AC Mix, M Eby, S Kulp, A Levermann, GA Milne, PL Pfister, BD Santer, DP Schrag, S Solomon, TF Stocker, BH Strauss, AJ Weaver, R Winkelmann, D Archer, E Bard, A Goldner, K Lambeck, RT Pierrehumbert, G-K Plattner


How to decarbonize? Look to Sweden

BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS 72 (2016) 105-111

R Pierrehumbert


CONVECTION IN CONDENSIBLE-RICH ATMOSPHERES

ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL 822 (2016) ARTN 24

F Ding, RT Pierrehumbert


Dynamics of atmospheres with a non-dilute condensible component.

Proceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences 472 (2016) 20160107-

RT Pierrehumbert, F Ding

The diversity of characteristics for the host of recently discovered exoplanets opens up a great deal of fertile new territory for geophysical fluid dynamics, particularly when the fluid flow is coupled to novel thermodynamics, radiative transfer or chemistry. In this paper, we survey one of these new areas-the climate dynamics of atmospheres with a non-dilute condensible component, defined as the situation in which a condensible component of the atmosphere makes up a substantial fraction of the atmospheric mass within some layer. Non-dilute dynamics can occur for a wide range of condensibles, generically applying near both the inner and the outer edges of the conventional habitable zone and in connection with runaway greenhouse phenomena. It also applies in a wide variety of other planetary circumstances. We first present a number of analytical results developing some key features of non-dilute atmospheres, and then show how some of these features are manifest in simulations with a general circulation model adapted to handle non-dilute atmospheres. We find that non-dilute atmospheres have weak horizontal temperature gradients even for rapidly rotating planets, and that their circulations are largely barotropic. The relative humidity of the condensible component tends towards 100% as the atmosphere becomes more non-dilute, which has important implications for runaway greenhouse thresholds. Non-dilute atmospheres exhibit a number of interesting organized convection features, for which there is not yet any adequate theoretical understanding.


New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 6 (2016) 773-+

MR Allen, JS Fuglestvedt, KP Shine, A Reisinger, RT Pierrehumbert, PM Forster


Comparison of "warm and wet" and "cold and icy" scenarios for early Mars in a 3-D climate model

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-PLANETS 120 (2015) 1201-1219

RD Wordsworth, L Kerber, RT Pierrehumbert, F Forget, JW Head


Feedback temperature dependence determines the risk of high warming

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 42 (2015) 4973-4980

J Bloch-Johnson, RT Pierrehumbert, DS Abbot


Climate Intervention: Reflecting Sunlight to Cool Earth

National Academies Press, 2015

Committee on Geoengineering Climate, RT Pierrehumbert

Weather modification, which could also be called “weather intervention,” is the intentional alteration of the composition, behavior, or dynamics of the atmosphere occurring over a specified area and time period to accomplish a particular goal ...


Climate Intervention Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration

National Academies Press, 2015

Committee on Geoengineering Climate, RT Pierrehumbert

Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration Committee on Geoengineering Climate: Technical Evaluation and Discussion of Impacts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Ocean Studies Board, Division on Earth and Life ...


Climate impact of beef: an analysis considering multiple time scales and production methods without use of global warming potentials

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 10 (2015) ARTN 085002

RT Pierrehumbert, G Eshel


Constraints on southern hemisphere tropical climate change during the Little Ice Age and Younger Dryas based on glacier modeling of the Quelccaya Ice Cap, Peru

QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS 125 (2015) 106-116

AGO Malone, RT Pierrehumbert, TV Lowell, MA Kelly, JS Stroup

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