Publications


Seasonal skill and predictability of ECMWF PROVOST ensembles

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 126 (2000) 2035-2067

C Brankovic, TN Palmer


Current status and future developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS 7 (2000) 163-175

R Buizza, J Barkmeijer, TN Palmer, DS Richardson


Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes

NATURE 398 (1999) 799-802

S Corti, F Molteni, TN Palmer


The effect of land-surface feedbacks on the monsoon circulation

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 125 (1999) 1527-1550

L Ferranti, JM Slingo, TN Palmer, BJ Hoskins


Analysis and model dependencies in medium-range ensembles: Two transplant case-studies

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 125 (1999) 2487-2515

MSJ Harrison, TN Palmer, DS Richardson, R Buizza


3D-Var Hessian singular vectors and their potential use in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 125 (1999) 2333-2351

J Barkmeijer, R Buizza, TN Palmer


A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 12 (1999) 575-591

TN Palmer


Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 125 (1999) 2887-2908

R Buizza, M Miller, TN Palmer


A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate predictability: Rossby's legacy

NINTH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE STUDIES (1998) 351-351

TN Palmer, AM SOC


Decaying singular vectors and their impact on analysis and forecast correction

JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 55 (1998) 3005-3023

CA Reynolds, TN Palmer


Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 126 (1998) 2503-2518

R Buizza, TN Palmer


Nonlinear dynamics and climate change: Rossby's legacy

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 79 (1998) 1411-1423

TN Palmer


Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS 103 (1998) 14451-14510

PJ Webster, VO Magana, TN Palmer, J Shukla, RA Tomas, M Yanai, T Yasunari


Sensitivity analysis of forecast errors and the construction of optimal perturbations using singular vectors

JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 55 (1998) 1012-1037

R Gelaro, R Buizza, TN Palmer, E Klinker


Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an Ensemble Prediction System

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 124 (1998) 1935-1960

R Buizza, T Petroliagis, T Palmer, J Barkmeijer, M Hamrud, A Hollingsworth, A Simmons, N Wedi


Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations

JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 55 (1998) 633-653

TN Palmer, R Gelaro, J Barkmeijer, R Buizza


Relations between interannual and intraseasonal monsoon variability as diagnosed from AMIP integrations

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 123 (1997) 1323-1357

L Ferranti, JM Slingo, TN Palmer, BJ Hoskins


A study of the predictability of tropical pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle

Monthly Weather Review 125 (1997) 831-845

Y-Q Chen, DS Battisti, TN Palmer, J Barsugli, ES Sarachik


The impact of increased resolution on predictability studies with singular vectors

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 123 (1997) 1007-1033

R Buizza, R Gelaro, F Molteni, TN Palmer


Atmospheric seasonal predictability and estimates of ensemble size

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW 125 (1997) 859-874

C Brankovic, TN Palmer